Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 25 Jun 2024. Before it settled, the high was 33.3% on 7 Jul 2024 and the low 0.4% on 8 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 0.4% on 8 Jul 2024. $42.15K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 9, 6:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 14 points · 25 Jun 2024 – 8 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2024 | 3.5% |
| 8 Jul 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.1K |
| asi-356 | No | 0.04 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
French legislative elections are are scheduled for June 30 and July 7, 2024. Elections for the National Assembly, which is the lower house of France's bicameral parliament, are conducted over 2 rounds of voting. A single representative is chosen for each of 577 constituencies, and the sum total of representatives makes up the National Assembly. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Rally coalition comprised of National Rally (RN, Rassemblement National) and Union of the far right (UXD, Union de l'extrême droite) wins between 175 (inclusive) and 199 (inclusive) seats in the National Assembly as a result of the next French legislative election. If voting in the next French legislative election does not occur by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Rally coalition in the National Assembly as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior. Any coalitions made with other parties or elected deputies after the results of the election are reported will not be considered for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information published through the website of the French Ministry of the Interior (https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/legislatives2024/), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-seats-will-national-rally-coalition-win-in-french-election
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