Analytics
Yes is at 13%, down 1 point from 14% when the market opened on 24 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 54.5% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 13% on 29 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 16.5% on 28 Oct 2026.
Muse from Meta ranks third of the 6 outcomes in “#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?”. TikTok Pro - Events leads at 54.5%; Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace is at 24.5%.
$372.3 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.34K since listing. The order book holds $92.78, with a 22.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 98 trades, $124.91 bought Yes and $955.28 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 264 shares; the largest No position is calvinhobbes123 with 282. Ten wallets hold 85.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 14.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 13.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| calvinhobbes123 | No | 281.85 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 264.34 |
| buoys | No | 262.8 |
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-october-30
| Indigo Signal 2966 |
| No |
| 146.73 |
| Lumia | Yes | 100 |
| chaosj88 | No | 90.89 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 82.87 |
| tradeo39 | Yes | 70 |
| Redeemm | Yes | 57 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 53.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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