Analytics
Yes is at 66.5%, down 5 points from 71.5% when the market opened on 4 Oct 2026.
Across the 16 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 71.5% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 34% on 12 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 45.5%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 34% on 12 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Muse on Meta glasses by...?”.
$250.27 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.44K since listing. The order book holds $381.1, with a 9.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 71 trades, $913.79 bought Yes and $132.68 bought No.
The largest Yes position is ENORMOUZ with 377 shares; the largest No position is SnapElectionAvoider with 200.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 6:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 4 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | 71.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 66.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ENORMOUZ | Yes | 376.52 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 200 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 91.79 |
At Meta Connect on September 23, 2026, Meta announced that Muse, its personal AI agent, would come to its AI glasses in the coming months (see: https://about.fb.com/news/2026/09/the-biggest-news-from-connect-2026/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes Muse available on any of its AI glasses by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Muse will be considered available on Meta's AI glasses if Meta releases a feature allowing users to give instructions to their Muse personal AI agent through the glasses. A qualifying release must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or a gradual rollout. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. Availability limited to paid subscription plans or to certain countries will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/muse-on-meta-glasses-by
| AJSV | Yes | 73.08 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 49 |
| FFFF3 | No | 40 |
| leadernew | Yes | 20 |
| cybermaxs | No | 20 |
| Carabao | No | 20 |
| JsonStatham | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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