Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.5% on 12 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2025 to 31 Dec 2025, the highest close was 1.5% on 12 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Dec 2025. $535.57K traded over the market's life.
81 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 31, 8:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 12 Nov 2025 – 31 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 | 1.5% |
| 31 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 28.25K |
| swaystar123 | Yes | 6.97K |
| Formal-Jackal | Yes | 1.99K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the company which owns the model that has the highest “Mathematics Average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. If two models are tied for the highest LiveBench Mathematics Average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order. The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “Mathematics Average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the LiveBench AI leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolution source: https://livebench.ai/#/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-company-will-have-the-best-ai-model-for-math-at-the-end-of-2025
| Yes |
| 1.27K |
| MyLige | Yes | 1.11K |
| zonh | Yes | 999.98 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 921.99 |
| gtriFveSgb | Yes | 507 |
| Rumpelstiltskin | Yes | 404.94 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 322 |
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