
Resolved No on 11 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.4%. Yes opened at 12% on 14 May 2025. Before it settled, the high was 12.5% on 19 May 2025 and the low 0.9% on 10 Jun 2025. $59K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 12, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 14 May 2025 – 11 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 May 2025 | 12.0% |
| 11 Jun 2025 | 5.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.67K |
| powellll | Yes | 1.18K |
| Razirback | Yes | 399.98 |
| celebratelies | Yes | 186.88 |
| SYSY.CN | No | 0.03 |
| VivianWard | No | 0.02 |
| GaySanta | No | 0.01 |
| twark | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in May 2025 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/may-inflation-monthly
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