Will monthly inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6% in November?

Resolved

Yes, settled Dec 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$1.8K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Dec 11, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 11 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 53.5%. Yes opened at 37% on 25 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 11 Dec 2025, the highest close was 53.5% on 11 Dec 2025 and the lowest 37% on 25 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 53.5% on 11 Dec 2025. $1.76K traded over the market's life.

11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 13, 12:31 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 11 Dec 2025, chart shows 30%–60%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Nov 2025	37.0%
11 Dec 2025	53.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.7K
0xRocket666	No	150
assertequal	No	28
shine	No	24.68

10 of 11 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentinian, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) increased in November 2025 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for November 2025 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on December 11, 2025. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.