Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.5%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 10 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 53 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 42.5% on 10 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 0.1% on 23 Jul 2025. $7.65K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 10 Jun 2025 – 1 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2025 | 42.5% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 14.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| siaolang | Yes | 130.21 |
| Impure-Contour | Yes | 100 |
| Jothan01 | Yes | 44.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes” if Mikie Sherrill wins the popular vote in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary by 15.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Mikie Sherrill and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once certified. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mikie-sherrill-win-nj-governor-dem-primary-by-15
| Yes |
| 19.7 |
| mxnstr | Yes | 7.84 |
| helengatinha22 | No | 4.52 |
| gotan | No | 0.07 |
| Parz1vaI | No | 0.03 |
| guiltytrades | No | 0.02 |
| GaySanta | No | 0.02 |
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