Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 40.33 | $0.859 | $3.69 | -$30.95 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 26.8 | $0.440 | $11.79 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 27.77 |
| $0.510 |
| $14.16 |
| Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.955 | $19.1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.910 | $21.16 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?Yes | sell | 26.4 | $0.840 | $22.18 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?No | sell | 25.31 | $0.910 | $23.03 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?No | sell | 24.09 | $0.980 | $23.61 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 24.23 | $0.984 | $23.84 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes | sell | 30.48 | $0.797 | $24.28 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 29.76 | $0.850 | $25.3 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?Yes | sell | 36.81 | $0.749 | $27.58 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?Yes | sell | 35.16 | $0.863 | $30.35 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 56 | $0.690 | $38.64 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes | sell | 46.91 | $0.840 | $39.4 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 46.51 | $0.870 | $40.46 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 28.48 | $0.620 | $17.66 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?Yes | buy | 23.03 | $0.868 | $20 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | sell | 30.45 | $0.894 | $27.22 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 31.13 | $0.900 | $28.02 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | sell | 35.09 | $0.900 | $31.58 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Drake release an album in 2025?No | sell | 22.31 | $0.851 | $18.98 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?No | sell | 20.77 | $0.910 | $18.9 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by December 31?No | sell | 6.32 | $0.900 | $5.69 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?No | sell | 38.12 | $0.893 | $34.03 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 47.05 | $0.919 | $43.24 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?No | sell | 37.63 | $0.925 | $34.81 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?No | sell | 31.41 | $0.920 | $28.9 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?No | sell | 28.43 | $0.930 | $26.44 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?No | sell | 32.35 | $0.936 | $30.28 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.944 | $32.55 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?No | sell | 26.98 | $0.946 | $25.52 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?No | sell | 26.67 | $0.940 | $25.07 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | sell | 25.57 | $0.940 | $24.04 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?No | sell | 33.9 | $0.950 | $32.21 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | sell | 38.58 | $0.950 | $36.65 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | sell | 11.49 | $0.959 | $11.02 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?No | sell | 24.69 | $0.961 | $23.73 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia enter Bilytske by December 31?No | sell | 23.8 | $0.961 | $22.88 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?No | sell | 47.34 | $0.965 | $45.68 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?No | sell | 36.69 | $0.969 | $35.54 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No | sell | 61.88 | $0.969 | $59.99 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?No | sell | 24.39 | $0.964 | $23.5 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 25.97 | $0.967 | $25.11 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will no listed leader be out in 2025?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.966 | $23.57 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 23.75 | $0.972 | $23.09 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | sell | 25.19 | $0.972 | $24.48 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No | sell | 11.23 | $0.982 | $11.03 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | sell | 50.61 | $0.985 | $49.85 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?No | buy | 15.2 | $0.840 | $12.77 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on December 20?No | sell | 12.9 | $0.990 | $12.77 | Dec 21, 2025 |