Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 31 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 31 Jul 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 24.5% on 3 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 26 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.3 points down, to 2.2% on 13 Aug 2025. $136.44K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 9:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 31 Jul 2025 – 1 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2025 | 15.5% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy Incorporated's total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-hold-650k-btc-by-august-31
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 2.07K |
| Bigchrome | Yes | 1.8K |
| Blundern | Yes | 1.32K |
| kickstandhater | Yes | 967.75 |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 799.38 |
| Kodi0014 | Yes | 527.11 |
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