What is the “Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Feb 28, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
On December 30, MicroStrategy announced that, " the Company, together with its subsidiaries, held an aggregate of approximately 446,400 bitcoins" (see: https://assets.contentstack.io/v3/assets/bltb564490bc5201f31/blt86aee42aac939a6f/6772966708d14f09dfda7bd4/form-8-k_12-30-2024.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy holds 500,000 or more bitcoins at any point by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($3.3M) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$232.66K
No sell at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Mar 1, 12:00 AM
Showing 60 of 500 loaded trade rows.Full archived tape is available through subscriber depth/API retrieval when coverage exists.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
Vultax loaded 84 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 95.9% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Mar 2, 8:43 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-hold-500k-btc-before-march) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
