Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 45% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.6% on 15 Mar 2026 and the low 32.5% on 3 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 75% on 5 Mar 2026.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 12:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 45.0% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| startrader | No | 3K |
| jacklucas | No | 1.87K |
| Wiry-Rainbow | No | 1.25K |
| GS13 | No | 765 |
| szakal | No | 698.5 |
| Royal Signal 2CB1 | No | 224.59 |
| qshu9999 | No | 202.23 |
| 5atka | No | 200 |
| oak | No | 152.3 |
| Competent-Crayon | No | 125 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-740k-btc-by-march-31
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