Analytics
Yes is at 86.5%, up 40 points from 47% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 123 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 94.5% on 21 Sep 2026 and the lowest 41.5% on 24 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 83%; a month before, 89%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 72.5% on 28 Jun 2026.
Michelle Romero is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “2026 Henderson Mayoral Election Winner”, ahead of Hollie Chadwick at 12.8%.
$30 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.23K since listing. The order book holds $14.62K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 90 trades, $1.9K bought Yes and $149.85 bought No; the largest was a $1.42K buy of Yes at 78.9¢.
The largest Yes position is SnapElectionAvoider with 995 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 536. Ten wallets hold 98.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 123 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 47.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 86.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 995.22 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 535.75 |
| cosmicsteaks | No | 446 |
The 2026 Henderson mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Henderson, NV. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Henderson as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Clark County, and the City of Henderson.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-henderson-mayoral-election-winner-20260626001013587
| cooljit | Yes | 161 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 114 |
| a-g-e-n-t-s | No | 45.21 |
| johnashbough | Yes | 30.72 |
| PPMT | No | 30.72 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 21 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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