Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 48.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 6 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 70 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 6 Aug 2026 and the lowest 5% on 10 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 13.5% on 7 Aug 2026. $445.05 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 3:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 70 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 17 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 49.5% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 48.5% |
2 more markets, none above 1.8%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| justmeandme | No | 46.99 |
| ABC12345654321 | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is ranked #1 on the AP top 25 College Football Poll during any gameweek of the 2026-27 season, preseason polls do not count. Otherwise this market will resolve "No". This market does not count any other ranking sources such as other power rankings or CFP rankings. The primary resolution source for this market will be the AP News Top 25 College Football Poll (https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-team-to-be-ranked-1-20260803152641598
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