Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 89.3%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 2 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 86 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 89.3% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 18 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 31.8% on 10 Oct 2026. $9.92K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 5:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 86 points, 2 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2026 | 4.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 89.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.1K |
| Acidic-Puritan | No | 221.74 |
| balthazar | No | 220.1 |
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mexico-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026
| Yes |
| 208.79 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 146.39 |
| gaaaydoggggg | No | 48.5 |
| PPMT | No | 30.26 |
| sanlitou2026p1 | No | 24.41 |
| shirokuro | Yes | 20.95 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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