Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 0.1%; no result has been reported.
Across the 85 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43.5% on 19 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13.2%; a month before, 7%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 24% on 20 Sep 2026.
1.5-2.0% ranks eighth of the 8 outcomes in “Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?”. 3.0-3.5% leads at 99.5%; 3.5%+ is at 4.5%.
$17.69K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Acidic-Puritan with 625 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.1K. Ten wallets hold 73.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 1:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 85 points, 2 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2026 | 34.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.09K |
| Acidic-Puritan | Yes | 625 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 573 |
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mexico-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 542.19 |
| nj23adsknml3 | No | 495 |
| qwen300.fund | Yes | 312.25 |
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 285.66 |
| System-Error404 | Yes | 243.51 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 165.03 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 157.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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