Analytics
Resolved No on 15 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 12 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 7.5% on 12 May 2026 and the low 0.5% on 15 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.9 points down, to 1.6% on 13 May 2026. $36.29K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 16, 10:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 12 May 2026 – 15 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 May 2026 | 7.5% |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Grubby-Beyond | Yes | 1.55K |
| realghostzilla | Yes | 1.1K |
| Powerful-Table | Yes | 695.02 |
| PeaceIsKey | Yes | 541.91 |
| Strong-Matchmaker | Yes | 500 |
| iamrhado | Yes | 500 |
| Numerobisses | Yes | 500 |
| Zzz1337 | Yes | 500 |
| McProducer | Yes | 335 |
| Medical-Stripe | Yes | 333.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-trumps-xi-summit
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