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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.140 | $1.37 | -$3.63 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | sell | 188.67 | $0.040 | $7.55 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes| sell |
| 19.23 |
| $0.200 |
| $3.84 |
| May 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.160 | $5.92 | May 23, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.015 | $0.44 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 161.45 | $0.081 | $13.08 | May 21, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes | sell | 86.2 | $0.061 | $5.26 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 851.75 | $0.012 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 86.21 | $0.058 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.505 | $1.68 | May 15, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.015 | $0.68 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?No | sell | 18.18 | $0.514 | $9.35 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend Trump’s Xi summit?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?Yes | buy | 118.84 | $0.008 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?Yes | buy | 80.3 | $0.012 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?Yes | buy | 53.33 | $0.150 | $8 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.956 | $4.78 | May 14, 2026 |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.660 | $3 | May 13, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETDown | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | buy | 75.54 | $0.013 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.098 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 3.34 | $0.599 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 161.45 | $0.062 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 188.68 | $0.053 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.940 | $23.5 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.036 | $4 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.036 | $5 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Feb 22, 2026 |