Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 42% on 7 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 87 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 42% on 7 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 11.5% on 8 Jul 2025. $30.52K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 4:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 87 points, 7 Jul 2025 – 1 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2025 | 42.0% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Silver Harbor E98F | Yes | 1.18K |
| Doonkune | Yes | 1.06K |
| FreeCityIndividual | Yes | 240.66 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individuals publicly announces they have joined or switched their party affiliation to the "America Party," by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Expressions of interest, financial donations, or statements of ideological sympathy will not alone qualify unless accompanied by a clear claim of party affiliation. If the entity is referred to as the “America Party” or a name deemed by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same organization launched by Elon Musk it will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-join-the-america-party-before-october
| Yes |
| 140.99 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 118 |
| polypocket22 | Yes | 90.9 |
| qwertzu | Yes | 50 |
| sibsib | Yes | 27.65 |
| Cryptozoology | Yes | 27.27 |
| tyl88 | Yes | 20 |
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