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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 417.58 | $0.910 | $380 | Oct 1, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 625 |
| $0.050 |
| $31.25 |
| Oct 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 363.44 | $0.961 | $349.27 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?Yes | buy | 414.03 | $0.300 | $124.21 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy in 2025?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | buy | 210.53 | $0.950 | $200 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell federally charged in 2025?No | buy | 206.06 | $0.971 | $200 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Obama federally charged in 2025?No | buy | 315.58 | $0.951 | $300 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 259.61 | $0.963 | $250 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.160 | $100 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 100.5 | $0.995 | $100 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 103.84 | $0.963 | $100 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.869 | $173.8 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 2.29K | $0.110 | $252 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 800 | $0.711 | $569.01 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 633.33 | $0.900 | $570 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 950 | $0.900 | $855 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.900 | $1K | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 800 | $0.730 | $584 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes | buy | 104.57 | $0.842 | $88 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy in 2025?No | buy | 796.31 | $0.941 | $749 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy in 2025?No | buy | 296 | $0.940 | $278.24 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.214 | $42.82 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Mark Cuban join the America Party?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.130 | $50 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Mark Cuban join the America Party?Yes | buy | 799.72 | $0.120 | $96 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 America Party wins a federal or gubernatorial election in 2025?No | buy | 986.7 | $0.900 | $888 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy in 2025?No | buy | 20.21 | $0.940 | $19 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 2.49K | $0.301 | $750 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 2.36K | $0.318 | $750 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.687 | $1K | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.928 | $5 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?Yes | buy | 144.36 | $0.170 | $24.54 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | buy | 33.93 | $0.690 | $23.41 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 687.27 | $0.728 | $500 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?No | buy | 186.21 | $0.870 | $162 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before July?No | buy | 589.62 | $0.848 | $500 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 846.71 | $0.295 | $250 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.120 | $400 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?No | sell | 175 | $0.503 | $88.01 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JuneYes | buy | 2.54K | $0.590 | $1.5K | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in May?No | buy | 242 | $0.942 | $227.96 | Jun 3, 2025 |