Analytics
Yes is at 21.3%, up 17 points from 4.5% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 82 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 65.1% on 11 Aug 2026 and the lowest 4.3% on 27 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 25.4%; a month before, 28.8%. Its largest one-day move was 59 points up, to 65.1% on 11 Aug 2026.
It is one of 21 markets under “Nuevo León Governor Election Winner”.
$8 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $18.29K since listing. The order book holds $1.09K, with a 7.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 314 trades, $1.02K bought Yes and $3.54K bought No; the largest was a $1.22K buy of No at 68.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Haradwaith with 567 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.2K. Ten wallets hold 90.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Jun 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 4.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 21.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.25K |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 665.88 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 567.46 |
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nuevo-leon-governor-election-winner-20260803170329
9 more markets, none above 4.0%.
| Crimson Scout DF5C | Yes | 456.25 |
| ElGringoTlax | Yes | 407.96 |
| leectram2 | No | 231.98 |
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 216.47 |
| Nadmi | Yes | 190 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 100.09 |
| sleepymonkey | Yes | 80 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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