Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95%. Yes opened at 46% on 5 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 84 daily closes on record from 5 Jan 2026 to 29 Mar 2026, the highest close was 56% on 17 Jan 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 24 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 29.5% on 6 Jan 2026. $8.55K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 4:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 84 points, 5 Jan 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2026 | 46.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 5.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dontshowmyname | Yes | 1K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 490 |
| Moral-Nephew | Yes | 296.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-visit-venezuela-by-march-31
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 170 |
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| Rafsmat | Yes | 14.06 |
| poliarb | Yes | 10 |
