Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 8.63 | $0.464 | $7.33 | +$3.33 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 156.86 | $0.102 | $16 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 156.86 |
| $0.102 |
| $5.88 |
| -$10.12 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 25 | $0.200 | $3.38 | -$1.63 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 17.65 | $0.170 | $1.68 | -$1.32 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 42.86 | $0.070 | $1.61 | -$1.39 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | Yes | 26.32 | $0.380 | $1.18 | -$8.82 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? | Yes | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 666.67 | $0.030 | $1 | -$19 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.360 | $1 | -$9 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | Yes | 18.18 | $0.110 | $1 | -$1 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.69 | -$0.31 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.160 | $0.43 | -$1.57 |
 Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.040 | $0.39 | -$0.61 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 1.59 | $0.630 | $0.37 | -$0.63 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 18.8 | $0.106 | $0.33 | -$1.67 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 25.64 | $0.039 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.320 | $0.06 | -$0.94 |
| buy |
| 11.11 |
| $0.090 |
| $1 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.042 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by January 16?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.380 | $1.03 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.048 | $4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 12?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 55°F or below on January 13?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 12?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on January 12?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.469 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.015 | $0.32 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.260 | $1.73 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.170 | $3.09 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?Yes | sell | 37.96 | $0.025 | $0.94 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.81 | $0.274 | $2.14 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.060 | $2.14 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.450 | $2.81 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will "Democracy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.961 | $1.26 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will "Biden" or "Kamala" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.981 | $1.5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.300 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?Yes | sell | 105.17 | $0.035 | $3.71 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | sell | 10.41 | $0.650 | $6.77 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.98 | $0.143 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.250 | $4 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 22.5 | $0.178 | $4 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 VEO 4 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| VEO 4 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| VEO 4 released by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.24 | $0.121 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will "Biden" or "Kamala" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.41 | $0.119 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.03 | $0.274 | $1.93 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.963 | $1.05 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 9?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.975 | $1.01 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.910 | $1.01 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9?Yes | sell | 51.25 | $0.005 | $0.28 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jan 8, 2026 |