Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 11% on 30 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 80 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2026 to 1 May 2026 (12 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 17% on 8 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 17% on 8 Feb 2026. $56.18K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 7:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 11.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.93K |
| JuliusNakamoto | Yes | 1.31K |
| korda77 | Yes | 1.03K |
This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change. The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published. The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDTThis market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change. The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published. The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically. Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered. If it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately. If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically. Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-best-month-in-2026
| labistiiia | Yes | 1K |
| acal | Yes | 988.58 |
| merod | Yes | 849.27 |
| nikitaxce | Yes | 600 |
| ouiouidescs | Yes | 600 |
| policestici | Yes | 500 |
| noid2 | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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