Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 20 points from 20.5% when the market opened on 14 Nov 2025.
Across the 335 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2025 to 29 Oct 2026 (15 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 20.5% on 14 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 0.5% on 15 Nov 2025.
Manuel Bompard ranks 36th of the 45 outcomes in “Next French Presidential Election”. Marine Le Pen leads at 43.3%; Édouard Philippe is at 17.5%.
$5.24M traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $196.71K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $418.58 bought Yes and $1.5K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Remote-Testing with 628.6K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.34M. Ten wallets hold 94.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 19 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 335 points, 14 Nov 2025 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 20.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.34M |
| Remote-Testing | Yes | 628.6K |
| BaucheJerome | Yes | 200K |
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election
32 more outcomes, none above 0.4%.
| F0ulplay | Yes | 150K |
| JustCrazy | Yes | 74.39K |
| kentx123456 | Yes | 50K |
| rainbowlilies | Yes | 36.43K |
| NyetRisk | Yes | 30.15K |
| sincereCoati3 | Yes | 19.94K |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 13.96K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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