Analytics
Yes is at 12.5%, down 9.5 points from 22% when the market opened on 27 Sep 2026.
Across the 30 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 30% on 11 Oct 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 1 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13%; a month before, 8%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 15% on 12 Oct 2026.
$1.62K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $554.33, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 45 trades, $62.14 bought Yes and $542.05 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 160 shares; the largest No position is 0xdc3E831cad with 338. Ten wallets hold 92.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 27 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | 22.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 12.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xdc3E831cad | No | 338.01 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 160 |
| Opulent-Communicant | No | 149 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the independent Regulatory Commission's decision finding that Manchester City FC breached Premier League rules in the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case) is overturned in full by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The decision will count as overturned in full if the Appeal Board, or any other court or tribunal with jurisdiction, officially sets aside every finding that Manchester City FC breached Premier League rules in this case, including where the case is sent back for a new hearing. A decision that sets aside only some of the findings, or that only reduces or changes the sanctions imposed, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Premier League, the independent Regulatory Commission, the Appeal Board, or Manchester City FC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-manchester-citys-115-charges-verdict-be-overturned-by-june-30-2027
| Grubby-Ferryboat | Yes | 145.78 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 99.99 |
| VGR22 | Yes | 70.48 |
| parameter1 | No | 46.51 |
| WarriorH | Yes | 23 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| JakeBeez | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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