Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 33% on 7 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2026 to 4 Aug 2026, the highest close was 38% on 9 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 3 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 16% on 18 Jul 2026. $5.31K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 4:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 7 Jul 2026 – 4 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2026 | 33.0% |
| 4 Aug 2026 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 250 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 201.48 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 121 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Democratic Primary to contest the 2026 Michigan Senate Election is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate Mallory McMorrow endorses in that election. An endorsement is defined as a public statement expressing definitive support for a candidate in a race. The statement must be made publicly (including through press releases, interviews, speeches, social media, campaign events, or other public communications) and must clearly identify the candidate and be made in the context of the race. If Mallory McMorrow does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mallory McMorrow or one of her representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Mallory McMorrow's endorsement.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-mallory-mcmorrow-endorse-in-the-michigan-senate-primary-20260706155756486
| Yes |
| 100 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| PPMT | Yes | 50 |
| Better-Browsing | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| tweetmaster | Yes | 8 |
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