Analytics
Yes is at 48.5%, up 3.5 points from 45% when the market opened on 18 Apr 2026.
Across the 183 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 75.5% on 1 Oct 2026 and the lowest 10% on 3 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 64.5%; a month before, 56.5%. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 67.5% on 10 Sep 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “UFC: Who will Carlos Ulberg fight next?”.
$201.17 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $9.63K since listing. The order book holds $950.18, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 245 trades, $980.64 bought Yes and $1.16K bought No.
The largest Yes position is catalanpaths with 109 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 222. Ten wallets hold 85.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 May 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 183 points, 18 Apr 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | 45.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 48.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 221.62 |
| catalanpaths | Yes | 108.9 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 105.7 |
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Carlos Ulberg is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Carlos Ulberg officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Carlos Ulberg is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-who-will-carlos-ulberg-fight-next
| Yoelmma | Yes | 100 |
| aliaspopeye | Yes | 62.26 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 49.24 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 45.36 |
| tescat | No | 40 |
| Supernova38 | Yes | 28.33 |
| Muddy-Wire | No | 25.64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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