Analytics
Yes is at 41.5%, down 3.5 points from 45% when the market opened on 18 Apr 2026.
Across the 190 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2026 to 6 Nov 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 75.5% on 1 Oct 2026 and the lowest 10% on 3 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 53.5%; a month before, 63.5%. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 67.5% on 10 Sep 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “UFC: Who will Carlos Ulberg fight next?”.
$473.46 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.06K since listing. The order book holds $356.72, with a 7.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 286 trades, $1.24K bought Yes and $1.43K bought No.
The largest Yes position is cmx5 with 433 shares; the largest No position is SmartBoyBilly with 250. Ten wallets hold 80.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 May 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 190 points, 18 Apr 2026 – 6 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | 45.0% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 41.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cmx5 | Yes | 433.46 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 250 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 221.62 |
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Carlos Ulberg is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Carlos Ulberg officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Carlos Ulberg is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-who-will-carlos-ulberg-fight-next
| catalanpaths |
| Yes |
| 108.9 |
| markmir | No | 102.64 |
| Yoelmma | Yes | 100 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 64.58 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 63.07 |
| aliaspopeye | Yes | 62.26 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 53.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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