Will Luís Marques Mendes win the first round by 4–6%?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 19, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.9K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 19, 2026 UTC

TradesThe most recent trades, newest first.

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Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
Ivory Atlas 4E9D	sell	No	99.9%	1.23	Jan 19, 7:29 AM UTC
yzhaobk	buy	No	99.9%	5	Jan 18, 6:41 PM UTC
Naropoly	buy	No	99.1%	57.12	Jan 18, 4:29 PM UTC
XavierGonzalez	sell	Yes	0.1%	36.72	Jan 18, 2:51 PM UTC
XavierGonzalez	buy	Yes	0.9%	62.88	Jan 18, 2:46 PM UTC
yzhaobk	buy	No	99.9%	5	Jan 18, 2:12 PM UTC
rated	buy	No	99.9%	18	Jan 18, 2:06 PM UTC
Novus0rdoSeclorum	buy	No	99.9%	53	Jan 18, 2:06 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	75.01	Jan 18, 11:37 AM UTC
Adolescent-Chrome	sell	Yes	0.1%	230.51	Jan 18, 10:26 AM UTC
Mkewjii	sell	No	99.1%	5.01	Jan 18, 10:07 AM UTC
Hnvbdhw	sell	No	99.1%	5	Jan 18, 10:04 AM UTC
lneijhon	sell	No	99.1%	5	Jan 18, 9:34 AM UTC
FGRERfddf	sell	No	99.1%	5	Jan 18, 9:16 AM UTC
JJJdrrfhg	sell	No	99.1%	5	Jan 18, 9:14 AM UTC
Fihijju	sell	No	99.1%	5.01	Jan 18, 8:34 AM UTC
yzhaobk	buy	No	99.9%	10	Jan 18, 6:08 AM UTC
Amber Horizon 6EB5	sell	Yes	0.1%	0.76	Jan 18, 6:02 AM UTC
yzhaobk	buy	No	99.9%	10	Jan 18, 5:53 AM UTC
cry.eth2	sell	Yes	0.1%	3.75	Jan 18, 5:52 AM UTC
cry.eth2	sell	Yes	0.1%	6.25	Jan 18, 5:37 AM UTC
cry.eth2	sell	Yes	0.1%	11.68	Jan 18, 3:31 AM UTC
cry.eth2	sell	Yes	0.1%	3.32	Jan 18, 3:30 AM UTC
cry.eth2	sell	Yes	0.2%	18.4	Jan 17, 11:21 PM UTC
cry.eth2	sell	Yes	0.2%	5.4	Jan 17, 11:21 PM UTC
cry.eth2	sell	Yes	0.2%	18	Jan 17, 11:21 PM UTC
shine	buy	No	99.8%	20	Jan 17, 11:21 PM UTC
Amber Horizon 6EB5	buy	No	99.8%	10	Jan 17, 11:21 PM UTC
EdwardLewis	buy	No	99.8%	20	Jan 17, 11:21 PM UTC
ZXWP	buy	No	99.8%	1.1	Jan 17, 9:22 PM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.9%	40	Jan 17, 12:49 AM UTC
NoLoyaltyToTheBosses	buy	No	99.9%	20	Jan 17, 12:44 AM UTC
shine	buy	No	99.9%	20	Jan 17, 12:44 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	37.42	Jan 17, 12:44 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	20.71	Jan 16, 6:00 PM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	20.71	Jan 16, 6:00 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	20.71	Jan 16, 6:00 PM UTC
cry.eth2	sell	Yes	0.1%	7.14	Jan 16, 5:30 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	7.15	Jan 16, 5:30 PM UTC
cry.eth2	sell	Yes	0.1%	5	Jan 16, 4:53 PM UTC
Quiet Pioneer 285F	buy	No	99.9%	4.47	Jan 16, 4:38 PM UTC
Amber Scout EB13	buy	No	99.9%	44.84	Jan 16, 4:38 PM UTC
Quiet Tide 6660	buy	No	99.9%	1.13	Jan 16, 4:38 PM UTC
Quiet Pulse 7A56	buy	No	99.9%	13.45	Jan 16, 4:38 PM UTC
Adolescent-Chrome	buy	Yes	0.7%	230.52	Jan 16, 4:38 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	10	Jan 16, 1:02 PM UTC
Hnvbdhw	buy	No	99.9%	5.01	Jan 16, 9:22 AM UTC
jinkingse	sell	No	99.2%	5.01	Jan 16, 9:07 AM UTC
lneijhon	buy	No	99.9%	5.01	Jan 16, 8:54 AM UTC
FGRERfddf	buy	No	99.9%	5.01	Jan 16, 8:35 AM UTC
JJJdrrfhg	buy	No	99.9%	5.01	Jan 16, 8:33 AM UTC
FGhghhytgv	sell	No	99.2%	5.02	Jan 16, 7:53 AM UTC
Fihijju	buy	No	99.9%	5.01	Jan 16, 7:42 AM UTC
DooBieZ	sell	Yes	0.1%	20.99	Jan 16, 2:17 AM UTC
yzhaobk	buy	No	99.9%	1.85	Jan 16, 12:18 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	23.53	Jan 15, 9:20 PM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.9%	20	Jan 15, 9:20 PM UTC
yzhaobk	buy	No	99.9%	10	Jan 15, 6:19 PM UTC
Luxurious-Chow	buy	No	99.9%	10	Jan 15, 6:16 PM UTC
cry.eth2	sell	Yes	0.1%	14	Jan 15, 6:16 PM UTC