Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 3.6%. Yes opened at 5% on 21 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 3.6% on 24 Oct 2026. $10.56K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 3:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 5.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 3.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.25K |
| balthazar | No | 229.48 |
| asdfedf | No | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election in the municipality of Rio de Janeiro (Rio de Janeiro state). Only valid votes cast at polling places in the municipality of Rio de Janeiro, as reported by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) for that municipality, will count. Votes cast abroad will not count. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in the municipality of Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election-second-round-winner-in-rio-de-janeiro-city
Start here: the 25 October runoff, the polls, the Polymarket odds and the results, in one guide.
Why a candidate's poll share and market price measure different things, and how to read them side by side.
When the count begins on 25 October, and where the electoral court publishes the official results.
| No |
| 101.99 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| PPMT | No | 31.56 |
| GingerMcKenna | No | 30 |
| nefariouskermit | No | 20.01 |
| JusDuB | No | 20.01 |
| xxtest | No | 20 |
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