Analytics
Yes is at 54.5%, up 4.5 points from 50% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 47 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 55% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 5 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 52%; a month before, 50%. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 17% on 4 Oct 2026.
$321.67 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $33.93, with a 83.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Fihdrzgdd with 42 shares; the largest No position is ms1910 with 60.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2029.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 54.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ms1910 | No | 60 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 41.93 |
| UpTheStairs | No | 21.92 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi signs a contract extension or a new contract with Inter Miami CF that keeps him at the club beyond the expiry of his current contract, and this is officially confirmed by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Messi's current contract with Inter Miami is reported to run through 2028. A qualifying extension means an official confirmation by Inter Miami CF, by Messi, or by his official representatives of a contract that keeps him at the club beyond that expiry. If Messi joins a different club rather than extending with Inter Miami, or retires, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Inter Miami CF or Lionel Messi; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-lionel-messi-sign-a-contract-extension-beyond-the-2028-mls-season
| lolzzzlol |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| Muted-Accuracy | No | 20 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 19.99 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 18.46 |
| BotFuvker | Yes | 4 |
| ZhouCD | No | 2 |
| Flingflonger | No | 2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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