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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | No | 317.82 | $0.866 | $315.6 | +$40.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.840 | $25.2 | 2h ago |
|
| No |
| 300 |
| $0.867 |
| $288.75 |
| +$28.75 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.787 | $256.5 | +$20.5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 249.99 | $0.872 | $249.87 | +$31.87 |
 Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September? | No | 200 | $0.940 | $190.7 | +$2.7 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 189.18 | $0.808 | $159.86 | +$6.92 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 167.57 | $0.835 | $156.68 | +$16.68 |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | No | 224 | $0.665 | $155.68 | +$6.68 |
| Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6? | No | 150 | $0.960 | $148.43 | +$4.43 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.930 | $94.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.910 | $94.5 | +$3.5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.920 | $91.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 100 | $0.860 | $89.5 | +$3.5 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.805 | $85.5 | +$5 |
| Will Claude go down 11-13 times in September? | No | 100 | $0.750 | $85 | +$10 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 100 | $0.790 | $78.5 | -$0.5 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.740 | $76 | +$2 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 199.99 | $0.772 | $74.1 | -$80.4 |
 Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | No | 120 | $0.704 | $71.4 | -$13.1 |
 Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | No | 56.05 | $0.910 | $53.52 | +$2.52 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | No | 50 | $0.940 | $49.95 | +$2.95 |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.880 | $47.5 | +$3.5 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.650 | $46.75 | +$14.25 |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6? | Yes | 169.99 | $0.162 | $44.2 | +$16.73 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 55 | $0.490 | $42.63 | +$15.68 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.450 |
| $22.5 |
| 2h ago |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08? | buy | 91.55 | $0.210 | $19.24 | 16h ago |
 Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.130 | $9.1 | 1d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 55 | $0.770 | $42.35 | 2d ago |
 Patriots vs. SeahawksPatriots | buy | 78.95 | $0.380 | $30 | 3d ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | 4d ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 49.99 | $0.170 | $8.5 | 4d ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.170 | $17 | 4d ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.160 | $9.6 | 4d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | 5d ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.130 | $9.1 | 5d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?No | buy | 6 | $0.770 | $4.62 | 5d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.730 | $36.5 | 5d ago |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.160 | $8 | 6d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?No | buy | 40 | $0.660 | $26.4 | 6d ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 30 | $0.810 | $24.3 | 7d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?No | buy | 50 | $0.630 | $31.5 | 7d ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?No | buy | 70 | $0.790 | $55.3 | 8d ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | sell | 143.87 | $0.210 | $30.21 | 8d ago |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 8d ago |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | 8d ago |
| Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.740 | $1.55 | 8d ago |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | 9d ago |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.230 | $13.11 | 9d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?No | buy | 35 | $0.218 | $7.63 | 9d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?Yes | sell | 90.42 | $0.790 | $71.43 | 9d ago |
 Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-08-30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | 10d ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 60.01 | $0.070 | $4.2 | 10d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.382 | $8.02 | 10d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?Yes | buy | 69.61 | $0.381 | $26.52 | 10d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.380 | $19 | 10d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.296 | $5.92 | 11d ago |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?No | buy | 23 | $0.280 | $6.44 | 11d ago |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?No | buy | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | 11d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.267 | $16.02 | 11d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | 12d ago |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.976 | $97.6 | 12d ago |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.780 | $109.2 | 12d ago |
| Will Claude go down 11-13 times in August?Yes | sell | 297.15 | $0.002 | $0.61 | 12d ago |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.820 | $49.2 | 12d ago |
 Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in August 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.939 | $93.9 | 12d ago |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | 12d ago |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | 12d ago |
| Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in August 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.931 | $18.62 | 13d ago |
| Will Claude go down 11-13 times in August?Yes | buy | 48.36 | $0.030 | $1.44 | 14d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?Yes | buy | 32.75 | $0.100 | $3.28 | 14d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?Yes | buy | 42.8 | $0.093 | $3.97 | 14d ago |