Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 14% on 23 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 164 daily closes on record from 23 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 16.7% on 3 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.7 points down, to 10.1% on 4 Sep 2025. $32.37K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 164 points, 23 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2025 | 14.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lineth | Yes | 940 |
| Singaprimas1312 | Yes | 525.66 |
| -Guapo-- | Yes | 415.92 |
This polymarket will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi officially announces his retirement from club soccer by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Messi is retiring from club-level professional soccer. The announcement must come from Messi himself or his official representatives. Retirement from international soccer alone will not qualify. The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or prior to the start of the next club season following the announcement. The primary resolution source will be official statements from Lionel Messi. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-lionel-messi-announce-his-retirement-in-2025
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 254 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 226 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 173 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 162 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 145 |
| noninoggnoa | Yes | 83.33 |
| RayKubinskk | Yes | 81.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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