Analytics
Yes is at 30%, up 7 points from 23% when the market opened on 10 Oct 2026.
Across the 15 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 32.5% on 29 Oct 2026 and the lowest 11% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 20.5%. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 13.5% on 11 Oct 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place”.
$190.4 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.18K since listing. The order book holds $27.08K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 119 trades, $761.32 bought Yes and $742.17 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Antony82 with 501 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 697.
Trading closes on 28 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 10 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | 23.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 30.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 697.11 |
| Haradwaith | No | 516.09 |
| Antony82 | Yes | 500.63 |
The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (New South Wales' lower house) as a result of the next New South Wales state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties. Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the New South Wales government, specifically the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC) (https://elections.nsw.gov.au/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-south-wales-parliamentary-election-3rd-place
| musicenthusiast |
| Yes |
| 486.14 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 93.4 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 85.67 |
| yoyo424269 | No | 50 |
| Livid-Television | No | 50 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 42.66 |
| Solar Signal F3B1 | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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