Will Liberal Alliance win 25-29 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 25, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 25, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 25 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 13% on 14 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 14 Mar 2026 to 25 Mar 2026, the highest close was 14% on 15 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 7% on 17 Mar 2026.

18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 25, 10:53 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 14 Mar 2026 – 25 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Mar 2026	13.0%
25 Mar 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.07K
TENETENET	Yes	500
cry.eth2	Yes	148.07

10 of 18 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party in the Danish Folketing (unicameral national legislature) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition it may be part of. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Danish government sources such as the Ministry of Interior and Health (https://www.valg.im.dk/) and Statistics Denmark (https://www.dst.dk/en).