Will less than 5000 US flights be delayed on March 24?

Resolved

Yes, settled Mar 25, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Mar 25, 2026 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 25 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 59%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 24 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 24 Mar 2026 to 25 Mar 2026, the highest close was 59% on 25 Mar 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 24 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 59% on 25 Mar 2026.

21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 26, 6:45 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 24 Mar 2026 – 25 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Mar 2026	25.5%
25 Mar 2026	59.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.4K
warptrading	No	666.64
kevin-airdrop	No	600
wallet-2	No	387.4

10 of 21 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.