Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 31 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 31 Jul 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 22.5% on 1 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 22.5% on 1 Aug 2025. $212.34K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 12:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 31 Jul 2025 – 1 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2025 | 14.5% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ontariotrucker | Yes | 17.65K |
| namkyoo | Yes | 8.38K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 6.06K |
| SloppySteaks | Yes | 3.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if member of the National Assembly Lee Jun-seok is arrested or detained by law enforcement between July 30, 2025, and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-lee-jun-seok-be-arrested-by-august-31
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 1.43K |
| sncrgw | Yes | 555.56 |
| MrGoy | Yes | 530.63 |
| JohnDoeberg | Yes | 499.86 |
| invaers | Yes | 450 |
| Beeter | Yes | 301.79 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
