Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 79.5%. Yes opened at 34% on 5 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2026 to 14 May 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 79.5% on 13 May 2026 and the lowest 33% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 71.5% on 7 May 2026. $15.07K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 15, 4:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 5 Apr 2026 – 14 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | 34.0% |
| 14 May 2026 | 79.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| warptrading | No | 2.5K |
| ZKN | No | 458.46 |
| vivi4024 | No | 187 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-dcms-self-certify-sports-event-contracts-by-june-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 100 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| malloyc3 | No | 50 |
| gavinfunda | No | 40 |
| usrvillaciud | No | 25 |
| Creative-Pasta | No | 17.51 |
| Mojito9 | No | 15 |
