Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 3.58K | $0.745 | $3.05K | +$385.66 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | sell | 33.76 | $0.961 | $32.44 | 7h ago |
 |
| No |
| 551.01 |
| $0.389 |
| $140.51 |
| -$74.02 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.952 | $47.2 | -$0.4 |
 Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.972 | $46.9 | -$1.7 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | Yes | 122 | $0.446 | $41.48 | -$12.9 |
 Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft? | Yes | 70 | $0.650 | $36.75 | -$8.75 |
 Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? | Yes | 83 | $0.480 | $30.3 | -$9.55 |
 Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? | No | 80 | $0.500 | $30 | -$10 |
 Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? | No | 45.66 | $0.720 | $29.91 | -$2.97 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | Yes | 53 | $0.599 | $28.06 | -$3.68 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | No | 44.97 | $0.630 | $27.21 | -$1.12 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 223 | $0.130 | $25.65 | -$3.35 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 215.01 | $0.190 | $20.43 | -$20.43 |
 Will voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho? | Yes | 43 | $0.460 | $20 | +$0.22 |
 Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft? | Yes | 51 | $0.440 | $19.64 | -$2.81 |
 Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 144 | $0.167 | $19.44 | -$4.54 |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? | Yes | 172 | $0.232 | $18.23 | -$21.67 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 66 | $0.290 | $15.18 | -$3.96 |
 Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 473 | $0.042 | $10.88 | -$9.09 |
 US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | Yes | 120 | $0.187 | $10.2 | -$12.2 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | Yes | 341 | $0.032 | $10.06 | -$0.91 |
 Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026? | Yes | 101.79 | $0.090 | $9.67 | +$0.51 |
 Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election? | No | 28.07 | $0.422 | $9.26 | -$2.57 |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | Yes | 204.84 | $0.149 | $9.22 | -$21.33 |
 Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 45 | $0.220 | $7.88 | -$2.03 |
| sell |
| 87.18 |
| $0.071 |
| $6.19 |
| 3d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | sell | 43 | $0.920 | $39.56 | 3d ago |
 Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 17.55 | $0.250 | $4.39 | 5d ago |
| Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?No | sell | 13.75 | $0.360 | $4.95 | 5d ago |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $176 in September?No | sell | 17.21 | $0.030 | $0.52 | 6d ago |
 SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.99 | $0.510 | $1.01 | 6d ago |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.660 | $29.7 | 6d ago |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | 6d ago |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.270 | $2.97 | 7d ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.270 | $8.1 | 8d ago |
 Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.370 | $2.59 | 11d ago |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.370 | $18.13 | 11d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 26.29 | $0.270 | $7.1 | 11d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.440 | $19.8 | 11d ago |
 Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.230 | $9.2 | 12d ago |
| Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.051 | $2.55 | 13d ago |
 Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.040 | $1.48 | 13d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 222 | $0.180 | $39.96 | 13d ago |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No | sell | 73 | $0.570 | $41.61 | 13d ago |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.001 | $0.09 | 13d ago |
 Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.250 | $1.75 | 13d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 6PM ETDown | buy | 5.11 | $0.950 | $4.85 | 13d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 3PM ETDown | buy | 5.39 | $0.900 | $4.85 | 13d ago |
 Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?No | sell | 1 | $0.620 | $0.62 | 14d ago |
| Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?No | sell | 7.31 | $0.620 | $4.53 | 14d ago |
| Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?No | sell | 23.68 | $0.620 | $14.68 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 12PM ETDown | buy | 5.11 | $0.950 | $4.85 | 14d ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | sell | 54 | $0.330 | $17.82 | 14d ago |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.9 | $0.610 | $2.38 | 14d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?No | sell | 70 | $0.050 | $3.5 | 14d ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | sell | 52 | $0.340 | $17.68 | 14d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.600 | $0.71 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11PM ETDown | buy | 5.11 | $0.950 | $4.85 | 14d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | sell | 120 | $0.100 | $12 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9PM ETUp | buy | 0.1 | $0.950 | $0.1 | 15d ago |
 Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.185 | $1.85 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | 16d ago |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 117 | $0.170 | $19.89 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11AM ETDown | buy | 5.27 | $0.920 | $4.85 | 17d ago |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.36 | $0.052 | $0.23 | 17d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2AM ETUp | buy | 5.11 | $0.950 | $4.85 | 17d ago |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.97 | $0.120 | $1.32 | 17d ago |
 Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?No | sell | 14.5 | $0.200 | $2.9 | 17d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1PM ETDown | buy | 5.33 | $0.910 | $4.85 | 18d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11AM ETDown | buy | 5.27 | $0.920 | $4.85 | 18d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9AM ETDown | buy | 7.7 | $0.630 | $4.85 | 18d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | 18d ago |
 Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 18d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9PM ETUp | buy | 5.27 | $0.920 | $4.85 | 18d ago |