
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 27 Mar 2026 (16 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 12.5% on 13 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 26 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 6.5% on 2 Feb 2026. $6.38K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 11:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 27 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 11.5% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 2.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.22K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 1K |
| MrMarket | Yes | 579.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-richest-person-on-march-31
| Yes |
| 562.7 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 162.01 |
| Monumental-Addition | Yes | 100 |
| Trader120 | Yes | 94.39 |
| daroghi | Yes | 90 |
| EdwardLewis | Yes | 40.19 |
| beachboy3 | Yes | 38.6 |
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