Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 28%. Yes opened at 51% on 8 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 8 Sep 2026 to 9 Sep 2026, the highest close was 51% on 8 Sep 2026 and the lowest 28% on 9 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 28% on 9 Sep 2026. $8.92K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 Sep 2026 – 9 Sep 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Sep 2026 | 51.0% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | 28.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TBill1 | No | 500 |
| dromedaryy | No | 405 |
| lissartter | No | 50 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of the LAPTOP token surpasses that of Official Trump (TRUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The LAPTOP token referenced in this market is LAPTOP, the token announced by Hunter Biden for launch on Base, as identified by the token's official channels (https://x.com/Laptoptoken) and confirmed by Hunter Biden or his official representatives. The token's launch (TGE) is defined as the first time the token is actively and publicly tradable. If the LAPTOP token has not launched (i.e., become actively and publicly tradable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No", regardless of the specified date. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/official-trump for TRUMP and, once listed, the CoinGecko page for LAPTOP. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, other credible and publicly verifiable sources will be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-laptop-flip-trump-by
| Better-Browsing | No | 49.99 |
| Bigbull | No | 20.97 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 14 |
| bjprolo | No | 8 |
| hithitfar | Yes | 0.08 |
| gydmasg | Yes | 0.02 |
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