Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 17 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 17 Jun 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 6.5% on 17 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jul 2026. $3.69K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 4:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 17 Jun 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jun 2026 | 6.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Spirit-LT | Yes | 300 |
| bareandbroke | Yes | 192.86 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 73.13 |
| Andrew.Shmorhan | Yes | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if an authorized representative of the listed country signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. The agreement must be signed by an authorized representative of the listed country, acting on behalf of the listed country, including by signing a copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-sign-the-us-x-iran-deal-by-june-30-20260616012051697
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.99 |
| Username1212888 | Yes | 14.29 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| predictdogepepewif | Yes | 0.01 |
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