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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | sell | 589.26 | $0.034 | $20.09 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.121 |
| $12.1 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 61.53 | $0.180 | $11.08 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 344.32 | $0.033 | $11.47 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 876.52 | $0.046 | $40.32 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.89 | $0.010 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?Yes | sell | 257.14 | $0.008 | $2.06 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.006 | $0.6 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 157.78 | $0.120 | $19 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 294.32 | $0.037 | $10.89 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 431.48 | $0.139 | $60 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.035 | $1.75 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 216.52 | $0.069 | $14.94 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?No | buy | 540 | $0.004 | $2.16 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 205 | $0.100 | $20.5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.038 | $43.12 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 177.89 | $0.973 | $173.12 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 6.39K | $0.013 | $80 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.047 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 471.02 | $0.091 | $43 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Kuwait sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes | buy | 192.86 | $0.070 | $13.5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 106.64 | $0.150 | $16 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?Yes | buy | 257.14 | $0.035 | $9 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.040 | $20 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.066 | $65.96 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 501.4 | $0.060 | $30 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 52.89 | $0.189 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 208.16 | $0.106 | $22 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 61.54 | $0.130 | $8 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.058 | $17.4 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.008 | $16 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.200 | $25 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 5.1K | $0.018 | $91 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.020 | $8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 396.17 | $0.038 | $15 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.027 | $27 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 104.16 | $0.041 | $4.29 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 931.29 | $0.027 | $25 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.023 | $25 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?Yes | buy | 962.31 | $0.026 | $25 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.048 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 104.89 | $0.047 | $4.93 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.190 | $15 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 140.16 | $0.142 | $19.93 | Jun 3, 2026 |