Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 2.4 points from 2.5% when the market opened on 15 Aug 2026.
The high was 2.5% on 16 Aug 2026 and the low 0.1% on 18 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 0.1%; a month ago, 0.1%.
Kuo Hsi ranks third of the 3 outcomes in “Taipei Mayor Election Winner”. Chiang Wan-an leads at 71%; Puma Shen is at 27.6%.
$3.12K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $70.38K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is cigarettes with 13.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 121.9K. Ten wallets hold 85.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 29 Nov 2026, 51 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 3:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 57 points · 15 Aug 2026 – 9 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | 2.5% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 121.86K |
| cigarettes | Yes | 13.09K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 12.8K |
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/taipei-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857100
| e46m3 |
| Yes |
| 11.81K |
| donthackme | Yes | 11.12K |
| Hasty-Worker | Yes | 10.97K |
| Lucerys | Yes | 8.29K |
| alex20011 | Yes | 7.21K |
| 123987456 | Yes | 5.76K |
| korda77 | Yes | 5.22K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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