Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 65% on 17 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 55 daily closes on record from 17 Sep 2025 to 10 Nov 2025, the highest close was 67% on 18 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 21.5% on 25 Sep 2025. $104.88K traded over the market's life.
67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 11, 8:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 17 Sep 2025 – 10 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2025 | 65.0% |
| 10 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lissartter | Yes | 462.47 |
| Luckbychance | Yes | 384.96 |
| puravida | Yes | 318.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
CarMax Inc is scheduled to release earnings on 2025-09-25. The Bloomberg consensus estimate for CarMax Inc's non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.03. This market will resolve to "Yes" if CarMax Inc reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.03 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the summary financial earnings press release (Form 8-K) rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If that figure is not included in the Form 8-K, and if CarMax Inc does not release non-GAAP EPS within 45 calendar days of the scheduled earnings announcement date this market will resolve to "No." Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from Bloomberg estimates. This field reflects the consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS. The consensus estimate is the mean of sell-side analyst estimates.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kmx-beat-earnings-estimate-2025-09-25-1pt03
| Yes |
| 196.67 |
| Abhig | Yes | 133.58 |
| horatio | Yes | 124.27 |
| Handy-Lycra | Yes | 111.11 |
| BenCM | Yes | 107.14 |
| Unequaled-Vibration | Yes | 100 |
| EarningsY | Yes | 100 |
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