Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 81.5%. Yes opened at 66.5% on 16 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 16 Mar 2026 to 18 Mar 2026, the highest close was 81.5% on 18 Mar 2026 and the lowest 65% on 17 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 81.5% on 18 Mar 2026.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 19, 6:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 16 Mar 2026 – 18 Mar 2026, chart shows 60%–85%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2026 | 66.5% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 81.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MartySupreme123 | No | 1K |
| Yosso | No | 728.4 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
| 5atka | No | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if an official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Khamenei's official X profiles: https://x.com/khamenei_ir, https://x.com/KhameneiBangla, https://x.com/az_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_fa, https://x.com/ar_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_Heb. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-khamenei-tweet-on
| Foppoloninskiusla | No | 173.91 |
| treexy1945 | No | 83.33 |
| zERabbi | No | 67.93 |
| Popmacpopen | No | 67.02 |
| Euphoric-Stepgrandmother | No | 52.05 |
| Giant-Refuge | No | 49.05 |
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