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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026?No | sell | 9.42 | $0.598 | $5.63 | Mar 24, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 13.72 |
| $0.430 |
| $5.9 |
| Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026?No | sell | 26.8 | $0.791 | $21.2 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 24, 2026?No | sell | 43.42 | $0.465 | $20.17 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?No | sell | 58.06 | $0.948 | $55.07 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.2 | $0.180 | $2.02 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?No | sell | 29.8 | $0.791 | $23.57 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 174.78 | $0.717 | $125.26 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?No | sell | 89.41 | $0.606 | $54.2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 181.92 | $0.741 | $134.75 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?No | buy | 28.3 | $0.589 | $16.68 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.2 | $0.580 | $6.5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.440 | $40 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.560 | $28 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 72.4 | $0.691 | $50 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?No | sell | 362.78 | $0.370 | $134.19 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?No | buy | 59.69 | $0.160 | $9.55 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 24, 2026?No | buy | 57.14 | $0.525 | $30 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.620 | $100 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026?No | buy | 36.22 | $0.512 | $18.56 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?No | buy | 50.7 | $0.592 | $30 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?No | buy | 135.49 | $0.364 | $49.35 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 58.06 | $0.850 | $49.35 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 22, 2026?No | buy | 8.23 | $0.660 | $5.43 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?No | buy | 9.68 | $0.620 | $6 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.160 | $11.43 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.81 | $0.770 | $2.93 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?No | buy | 15.3 | $0.653 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 36.06 | $0.775 | $27.94 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei tweet again on March 19, 2026?No | sell | 62.5 | $0.124 | $7.73 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 20, 2026?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 19, 2026?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026?No | sell | 99.13 | $0.340 | $33.7 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 293.04 | $0.750 | $219.78 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026?No | buy | 130.43 | $0.460 | $60 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?No | sell | 56.69 | $0.131 | $7.44 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 17, 2026?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 23.55 | $0.313 | $7.38 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.55 | $0.849 | $20 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?No | buy | 257.14 | $0.700 | $180 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?No | sell | 374.38 | $0.990 | $370.53 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 58.35 | $0.675 | $39.4 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.210 | $15 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 84.09 | $0.629 | $52.93 | Mar 15, 2026 |