Will Kenichi Tanabe win the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial election?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 30, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.3K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 30, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 30 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 37% on 13 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 13 Aug 2026 to 30 Aug 2026, the highest close was 37% on 13 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 4% on 14 Aug 2026. $1.33K traded over the market's life.

18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 13 Aug 2026 – 30 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 Aug 2026	37.0%
30 Aug 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	558.47
Shonan	Yes	237.94
74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.	Yes	56

10 of 18 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kagawa on August 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kagawa and Japan, including the Kagawa Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.kagawa.lg.jp/senkyoi/index.html).