Analytics
Yes is at 33.5%, up 9 points from 24.5% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 36% on 25 Oct 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 25.5%. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 21.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
3-6 points behind ranks second of the 5 outcomes in “Keisha Lance Bottoms runs behind Jon Ossoff by...? (First Round)”. 6-9 points behind leads at 56.5%; 9+ points behind is at 7.5%.
$115.02 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.3K since listing. The order book holds $202.77, with a 19.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 61 trades, $183.76 bought Yes and $404.58 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 123 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 391.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 10 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 11:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 15%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 24.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 33.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 390.87 |
| AJSV | Yes | 123.42 |
| zeitfi-vault-v2 | Yes | 106.32 |
The 2026 Georgia general election is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. Keisha Lance Bottoms is the Democratic nominee for Governor of Georgia, and Jon Ossoff is the Democratic nominee for United States Senate in Georgia. This market will resolve based on how many percentage points Keisha Lance Bottoms’ vote share in the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election falls below Jon Ossoff’s vote share in the 2026 Georgia U.S. Senate election. If Bottoms’ vote share exceeds Ossoff’s, this market will resolve to “Runs ahead”. Each candidate’s vote share will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for that candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in that candidate’s respective race, including write-in votes, calculated from the certified vote totals without rounding. This market will consider only the first round of each election. For a race that includes a runoff, ranked-choice, or other multi-round process, the relevant vote share will be that of the first round — the initial count of votes before any runoff, reallocation, or elimination of candidates. If the reported difference falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the two vote shares are equal, this market will resolve to “0-3 points behind.” If either candidate withdraws or is otherwise removed from the general election ballot such that they receive no recorded votes, or if a candidate’s vote share cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that candidate will be considered to have received 0% of the vote. The resolution source for this market will be the certified results published by the Georgia Secretary of State; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/keisha-lance-bottoms-runs-behind-jon-ossoff-by-first-round
| Fair-Tan |
| Yes |
| 70 |
| sunnynotbunny | Yes | 53.46 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 44.4 |
| yoyo424269 | No | 32 |
| prizr | Yes | 19.62 |
| Ivory Oracle F35F | Yes | 17.23 |
| Haradwaith | No | 17.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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