Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.6%. Yes opened at 50% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 5 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 3.4% on 5 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 10.5% on 2 Jul 2026. $1.2K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 6:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 5 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 5 Jul 2026 | 3.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tiongbu | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| hesure | Yes | 50 |
| Wicked-Porthole | Yes | 35.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Love Island USA began airing on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is eliminated from Love Island USA Season 8 between market creation and July 4, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Removal from the show which differs from traditional elimination will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant episode of Love Island USA Season 8 or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-eliminated-from-love-island-usa-week-5-20260626220757889
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10.1 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
